In the middle of November, Acting Government Economist Helen Chan announced that in
the 3rd quarter of 2007 the economy of Hong Kong continued to grow. Hong Kong’s GDP rose 6.2% in real terms in comparison with the same period in 2006 – this result marked the 16th consecutive quarter when the growth of GDP exceeded the average trend growth.
According to Chan’s explanation, the strong outturn of 6.1% GDP growth in the 1st 3 quarters and the prevailing strength in domestic demand signify that Hong Kong’s economy is able to attain 6% growth for the whole 2007. She added that the economy looks set for further strong growth in the 4th quarter.
Merchandise exports in Hong Kong increased by 6.4% in real terms.
Services exports in Hong Kong grew 12.3%, which reflected vibrant financial market activities, a continued rise in offshore trade and strong inbound tourism.
A key role in driving the economy forward was played by domestic demand. The increase in private consumption spending accounted for 9.7% – this increase was supported by the improving job market as well as by rising household income and wealth.
In accordance with the information provided by the Hong Kong government, the global credit market turbulence in August and September 2007 had only a limited impact on local financial markets and caused greater volatility.
Uncertainty to the global trading environment was also added by the recent surge in oil prices. It should be noted that this might have some impact on trade performance in the 4th quarter of 2007.
Mrs Chan was asked about the impact of the US economic downturn on Hong Kong. She observed that if the United States’ economy shows a downturn which is bigger than expected, the effect on the global economy, Hong Kong’s economy including, will be inevitable. Nevertheless, the direct impact should not be as severe as before because the dependence on the United States as an export growth driver has declined significantly over the years, and the Mainland has become a significant export market for Hong Kong.
Mrs Chan said that the Government will cautiously observe the future economic performance of the United States as well as other external factors.
She also stated that the Government will do its best in order to maintain the market’s smooth operation and to strengthen risk management.
Filed under: Business and Economy